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And Then There Is Disaster C
Breaking Up Is Hard to Do And Then There Is Disaster C Who Do You Trust? Carlsbad, San Francisco, Atlanta, and Buenos AiresThey say that breaking up is hard to do. Now I know, I know that it's true...
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How Change Happens
Ubiquity, Complexity Theory, and Sandpiles The Critical State We Are Managing Uncertainty Fingers of Instability A Stable Disequilibrium Getting Older and Other Happy Thoughts"To trace something...
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Boomers Are Breaking the Deal
How Are You Going to Keep Them Down on the Farm? A College Degree Is Not Enough Boomers Are Breaking the Deal Two Workers for Every Social Security Recipient Carlsbad, Palo Alto, Chicago, and...
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The Consequences of Easy Monetary Policy
Got LSAP? Quantitative Easing as Trickle-Down Economics That Which Is Seen and That Which Is Not Seen “Ultra Easy Monetary Policy and the Law of Unintended Consequences” California, Chicago, New York,...
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Debt Be Not Proud
How Down Can Be Up If You Create the Rules The Fed to the Rescue? The Correlation Between Government Size and Growth Debt Be Not Proud Debt Overhangs: Past and Present Should the Fed Give Us QE3?...
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The Direction of the Compromise
The Economic Consequences of a Political Decision American Exceptionalism The Cost of Dealing with the Deficit Which Candidate’s Plan Solves the Deficit? Chicago, Atlanta, New York, and Scandinavia"How...
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QE Infinity: Unintended Consequences
5.5% Unemployment Is Acceptable We Live in Uncertain Times With Apologies to Drunken Sailors What If They Gave a QE Party and No One Came? The Magnitude of the Mess We’re In Atlanta, New York, Orlando,...
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Uncertainty and Risk in the Suicide Pool
New Publishing Schedule for Thoughts from the Frontline Jumping into the Suicide Pool Probability Theory and Retirement Portfolios Obsessing on Risk, Ignoring Uncertainty An Uncertain Spain Orlando,...
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The Unemployment Surprise
You Know You Were Surprised The Eat, Drink, and Get Sick Sector The Really Important Employment Numbers Portland, Chicago, Atlanta, and South AmericaThe unemployment number surprisingly dropped to 7.8%...
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Economic Singularity
The Economic Singularity The Minsky Moment The Event Horizon The Glide Path Speaking on Alternatives I Was So Much Older Then, I'm Younger Than That Now"Concern about politics and the processes of...
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The Perils of the Fiscal Cliff
The Problem with Austerity The Perils of the Fiscal Cliff If Something Can’t Happen… GDP = C + I + G + Net Exports Economic Indicators for the Election – It’s the Economy, Stupid! Brazil, Uruguay,...
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The Quest for Certainty
The Problem with Dynamic Condition-Dependent Multipliers Measuring GDP The Economics of Assumptions Investing in an Uncertain World South America, New York, North Dakota, and Greece?“As far as the laws...
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Three Men Make a Tiger
The Post-Election Summit Reality Can Be a Bitch Dealing with Confirmation Bias Three Men Make a Tiger Cafayate, Buenos Aires, Chicago, Washington DC, and New YorkI am just a poor boy. Though my story's...
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Central Bank Insurance
Central Bank Insurance A Monument for Cristina Agricultural Alchemy And in a Real Emergency Money for Nothing Chicago, Washington DC, New York, North Dakota, and Scandinavia"Without that sense of...
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Where Will the Jobs Come From?
The Next Bubble A Hollow Powerhouse? We’ve Seen This (Manufacturing) Movie Before A Manufacturing Renaissance Bismarck, Scandinavia, Greece, Geneva, and Writing ScheduleFor the last year, as I travel...
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Capital Formation and the Fiscal Cliff
Your Perception Is Your Reality Growth = Population Growth + Productivity Increases Reduced Capital Spending Bismarck, DC, New York, and EuropeIn today's economic environment, we often complain about...
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Peak Oil or Peak Energy? – A Happy Solution
Looking Over My Shoulder It Takes an Entrepreneur The Line of Death Get a Job Not Everyone Can Run a Surplus Peak Oil or Peak Energy? – A Happy Solution New York, Cleveland, and Europe A consistent...
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Central Bank Insurance
Bitten By the Gold Bug Time to Buy, or Sell? Gold in Ancient Rome and Today Is Gold a Currency Hedge? Then Why Buy Gold? Central Bank Insurance How to Buy Gold Scandinavia, Europe, and Toronto Oh, and...
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Looking on the Bright Side
Go See Lincoln It Was Ever Thus The Fiscal Cliff Is Not the Problem Looking on the Bright Side Shipping Hope This Year Santa Barbara, Europe, and Toronto, etc.It is Christmas Eve and not the time for...
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Somewhere Over the Rainbow
So Who’s the Optimist Now? Game-Changer: Slower Economic Growth Somewhere Over the Rainbow Santa Barbara, Europe, Toronto, and Christmas Just PastWe are 13 years into a secular bear market in the...
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